The Academic Council on the United Nations System

ResilientCivilians project ISA 2019 Abstract

Working Title: Insights from Resilience &  Complexity for civilian societies at risk from hybrid warfare attacks

 

Hybrid warfare

  • How we understand it (Curren paper)
  • Civilian vulnerabilities/risks
    • Loss of electricity, effects on:
      • Internet (information) and internet of things (functions like banking, railway, retail, eg food)
    • Interference in elections
    • Stimulate social tensions, e.g around immigration

Insights from Complexity theory

  • Explain complex systems and link to how social systems are influenced and respond to influences
  • Explain concepts of self-organisaton and emergence and relevance for how civilian systems are likely to respond to influences such as hybrid attacks

Introduce concept of Resilience

  • Discuss key lessons from resilience literature for hybrid warfare context
    • Natural disaster literature
  • Relevance for hybrid warfare context
  • Resilience of technical support systems
    • Electricity++
  • Resilience of social systems to political interference

Recommendation and Conclusion

  • Key insights from Complexity theory and Resilience for civilian societies at risk from hybrid warfare attacks